Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.046017 6.816642 7.660642 8.655696 9.799406 11.075901 12.612761
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.841602 5.834699 7.007278 8.501717 10.366738 12.631757 15.612536
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.133872 5.233951 6.607891 8.465690 10.936187 14.142195 18.672577
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.614113 4.759475 6.255859 8.378803 11.353249 15.432543 21.554998
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.370743 4.597180 6.265376 8.737215 12.369954 17.613472 25.941047
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.064330 4.303845 6.048069 8.729923 12.836412 19.032801 29.375110
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.793258 4.026176 5.814146 8.655647 13.170558 20.264035 32.657609
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.453883 3.612730 5.335280 8.148567 12.758342 20.250403 33.857259
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.293609 3.452046 5.218955 8.188690 13.215928 21.687070 37.727127
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.205167 3.392293 5.250004 8.463398 14.084824 23.911672 43.332698
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.101744 3.298250 5.215067 8.619563 14.759411 25.867074 48.723583
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.999560 3.196590 5.156675 8.725539 15.349640 27.731039 54.215581
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.890714 3.078260 5.065309 8.773628 15.857378 29.540365 59.984829
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.747775 2.890977 4.840157 8.557178 15.839556 30.321920 63.699392
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.645872 2.766259 4.713227 8.508375 16.138640 31.774213 69.149020
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.547544 2.640061 4.572691 8.418397 16.341690 33.047014 74.401648
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.520530 2.639246 4.659637 8.778159 17.511175 36.555747 85.715362
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.446575 2.546762 4.567825 8.770708 17.898293 38.373557 93.126312
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.370337 2.444453 4.449074 8.696015 18.128306 39.858026 99.948358
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.248674 2.248359 4.135227 8.186265 17.329557 38.802522 99.649557
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.199459 2.187813 4.082623 8.226597 17.792060 40.870069 108.555228
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.179014 2.181503 4.136992 8.502746 18.837072 44.539604 122.932116
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.146986 2.150011 4.137663 8.659734 19.614893 47.639109 136.295333